Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.023095 0.025457 0.027808 0.030318 0.032918 0.035525 0.038334
2025-02-09 0.017830 0.021553 0.025389 0.029606 0.034088 0.038685 0.043737
2025-02-16 0.014848 0.019438 0.024302 0.029771 0.035690 0.041854 0.048714
2025-02-23 0.012415 0.017579 0.023201 0.029647 0.036732 0.044200 0.052592
2025-03-02 0.010366 0.015921 0.022133 0.029389 0.037472 0.046079 0.055831
2025-03-09 0.008782 0.014641 0.021363 0.029345 0.038344 0.048009 0.059034
2025-03-16 0.007119 0.013108 0.020187 0.028746 0.038514 0.049098 0.061252
2025-03-23 0.006043 0.012197 0.019665 0.028830 0.039394 0.050917 0.064216
2025-03-30 0.004890 0.011072 0.018812 0.028470 0.039719 0.052078 0.066415
2025-04-06 0.003792 0.009897 0.017823 0.027892 0.039749 0.052869 0.068168
2025-04-13 0.002591 0.008401 0.016338 0.026656 0.038967 0.052706 0.068823
2025-04-20 0.002172 0.008034 0.016274 0.027111 0.040129 0.054715 0.071875
2025-04-27 0.001550 0.007296 0.015766 0.027112 0.040874 0.056389 0.074716
2025-05-04 0.000848 0.006222 0.014760 0.026489 0.040902 0.057276 0.076720
2025-05-11 0.000483 0.005654 0.014405 0.026653 0.041842 0.059189 0.079861
2025-05-18 0.000181 0.004992 0.013858 0.026536 0.042418 0.060660 0.082481
2025-05-25 0.000011 0.004324 0.013239 0.026289 0.042809 0.061895 0.084811
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003807 0.012799 0.026247 0.043427 0.063375 0.087402
2025-06-08 NaN 0.003108 0.011991 0.025675 0.043369 0.064044 0.089048
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002735 0.011682 0.025756 0.044099 0.065622 0.091719
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002236 0.011086 0.025411 0.044281 0.066540 0.093619
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001718 0.010366 0.024860 0.044182 0.067109 0.095100
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001083 0.009244 0.023682 0.043256 0.066674 0.095404